“Balls Deep” Episode 3 – Advanced Statistics

Welcome to episode 3 of “Balls Deep”, where I will be introducing some advanced statistics for those who share my same passion for numbers.  Keep in mind, these numbers are the result of a fairly small sample size (18 games out of a 60 game seasons, or 30% of the total season’s length).  I have always found statistics interesting, especially when you can really dig down and find some underlining correlations that aren’t necessarily evident at initial glance.  So, within this edition, I shall try to illuminate a few statistics that I have found of particular interest thus far.  Firstly, I must emphasize a general disclaimer that stats can often be misinterpreted, and in no way is this an attempt to denounce anyone (or toot my own horn).  I have to thank the Collective’s Mike Connor for his unparalleled expertise with Excel and coding to make these analyses possible.  Let’s begin.

Points Per Game

Points per game (henceforth referred to as PPG) is one of the most used statistics to assess individual player performance.  It is particularly useful because it takes into consideration missed games, whereas a gross point total does not.  For those unaware, PPG is a simple division of total points by number of games played.  In the table below, you will find ten players with the highest PPG.

Rank Team Name GP G 1A 2A Pts GPG 1APG 2APG PPG
1 Sasquatches Marc 12 17 18 4 39 1.42 1.50 0.33 3.25
2 Baton Rouge Ray 15 25 19 4 48 1.67 1.27 0.27 3.20
3 Flying Elbows Troy 15 16 14 8 38 1.07 0.93 0.53 2.53
4 Sasquatches Bobby 18 27 14 4 45 1.50 0.78 0.22 2.50
5 Flying Elbows Justin 18 22 14 6 42 1.22 0.78 0.33 2.33
6 Baton Rouge Brent 18 21 15 5 41 1.17 0.83 0.28 2.28
7 Collective Mike M. 15 14 10 7 31 0.93 0.67 0.47 2.07
8 Flying Elbows Jamie 18 21 8 8 37 1.17 0.44 0.44 2.06
9 Flying Elbows Tim 18 14 16 6 36 0.78 0.89 0.33 2.00
10 Big D Andrew 12 13 7 3 23 1.08 0.58 0.25 1.92

 

To no surprise, perennial MVP Marc Guitard currently sets the PPG standard.  Year after year, Guitard seems to find a way to be the frontrunner in nearly all offensive categories.  Troy Doyle is off to a fantastic start as a dedicated defenceman for Tim’s Flying Elbows.

Goals Per Game

Goals per game (GPG) is another common means of determining individual player performance.  Again, it takes into consideration missed games.  Due to its sensitivity to games played, the statistic can sometimes be inflated; however, it is safe to assume that our sample size is adequately large to interpret the results.  In the table below, you will find the league’s top ten players in GPG.

Rank Team Name GP G 1A 2A Pts GPG 1APG 2APG PPG
1 Baton Rouge Ray 15 25 19 4 48 1.67 1.27 0.27 3.20
2 Sasquatches Bobby 18 27 14 4 45 1.50 0.78 0.22 2.50
3 Sasquatches Marc 12 17 18 4 39 1.42 1.50 0.33 3.25
4 Baton Rouge Sly 9 12 2 3 17 1.33 0.22 0.33 1.89
5 Sasquatches Sean 15 19 7 1 27 1.27 0.47 0.07 1.80
6 Flying Elbows Justin 18 22 14 6 42 1.22 0.78 0.33 2.33
7 Baton Rouge Brent 18 21 15 5 41 1.17 0.83 0.28 2.28
8 Flying Elbows Jamie 18 21 8 8 37 1.17 0.44 0.44 2.06
9 Big D Andrew 12 13 7 3 23 1.08 0.58 0.25 1.92
10 Flying Elbows Troy 15 16 14 8 38 1.07 0.93 0.53 2.53

 

Although this table has some similar names, the order has indeed shuffled.  It’s also worth pointing out that two rookies have cracked the top ten in GPG, as Sean (Sasquatches) and Sly (Baton Rouge) both find themselves off to hot starts.

% Goals and % Total Contribution

Alright, alright.  I know I said in my introduction that these would be “advanced” statistics, and I have hardly given anything advanced to date.  Well, let’s delve into something a little more complex.  Mike and I have come up with two statistics that further explain a player’s worth to his team.  Firstly, we have % Goals, which is the ratio of an individual’s total goals scored to his team’s total goals scored.  This statistic basically sums up the player’s goal contribution to his team.  Additionally, % Total Contribution refers to a player’s total points in relation to the total number of goals his team has scored.  In other words, % Total Contribution expresses how often a player is involved in a goal (as the scorer, or an assister) that his team has scored.  Obviously, the higher the number, the better.  Let’s take a look at the top ten players in both of these statistical categories.

Rank Team Name GP G 1A 2A Pts GPG 1APG 2APG PPG % Goal % Total
1 Barrage Collin 18 19 9 1 29 1.06 0.50 0.06 1.61 36.54% 55.7692%
2 Warriors Denis 18 18 7 2 27 1.00 0.39 0.11 1.50 32.14% 48.2143%
3 Sasquatches Bobby 18 27 14 4 45 1.50 0.78 0.22 2.50 30.68% 51.1364%
4 Baton Rouge Ray 15 25 19 4 48 1.67 1.27 0.27 3.20 29.76% 57.1429%
5 Collective Mike M. 15 14 10 7 31 0.93 0.67 0.47 2.07 25.45% 56.3636%
6 Baton Rouge Brent 18 21 15 5 41 1.17 0.83 0.28 2.28 25.00% 48.8095%
7 Flying Elbows Justin 18 22 14 6 42 1.22 0.78 0.33 2.33 22.92% 43.7500%
8 Shooters Joel 15 11 6 2 19 0.73 0.40 0.13 1.27 22.92% 39.5833%
9 Flying Elbows Jamie 18 21 8 8 37 1.17 0.44 0.44 2.06 21.88% 38.5417%
10 Sasquatches Sean 15 19 7 1 27 1.27 0.47 0.07 1.80 21.59% 30.6818%

 

Rank Team Name GP G 1A 2A Pts GPG 1APG 2APG PPG % Goal % Total
1 Baton Rouge Ray 15 25 19 4 48 1.67 1.27 0.27 3.20 29.76% 57.1429%
2 Warriors James 18 12 9 11 32 0.67 0.50 0.61 1.78 21.43% 57.1429%
3 Collective Mike M. 15 14 10 7 31 0.93 0.67 0.47 2.07 25.45% 56.3636%
4 Barrage Collin 18 19 9 1 29 1.06 0.50 0.06 1.61 36.54% 55.7692%
5 Collective Rick B. 18 10 12 8 30 0.56 0.67 0.44 1.67 18.18% 54.5455%
6 Sasquatches Bobby 18 27 14 4 45 1.50 0.78 0.22 2.50 30.68% 51.1364%
7 Baton Rouge Brent 18 21 15 5 41 1.17 0.83 0.28 2.28 25.00% 48.8095%
8 Warriors Denis 18 18 7 2 27 1.00 0.39 0.11 1.50 32.14% 48.2143%
9 Shooters Harold 18 7 11 4 22 0.39 0.61 0.22 1.22 14.58% 45.8333%
10 Sasquatches Marc 12 17 18 4 39 1.42 1.50 0.33 3.25 19.32% 44.3182%

 

Let’s discuss the findings.  In terms of % Goals, Collin Sleep of the Barrage is the most influential player in his team’s success.  Collin scores over 36% of the team’s goals by himself, and when assists are factored in, he finds himself involved in 56% of the Barrage’s goals.  Some other impactful players are Denis Loubert (32% of the Warriors’ goals), Bobby Woods (31% of the Sasquatches’ goals), and Mike Moore (25% of Collective’s goals).

When looking at % Total Contribution, we are greeted by an absolutely astounding statistic.  In an extreme example of unlikelihood, we find that Ray Chase (Baton Rouge) and James Campbell (Warriors) find their names on the score sheet in exactly 57.1429% (yes, identical to the 4th decimal point) of their respective teams’ goals.  Some other players, league-wide, that play significant offensive roles on their teams are Mike Moore (56%), Rick Bartlett (55%), and Bobby Woods (51%).  Basically, this statistic reveals some primary targets on teams to shut down.  There appear to be a good chunk of players that are involved on half of their teams’ goals!

% of Goals With 2As

In an act of sheer boredom, we decided to analyze the proportion of each team’s total goals scored that involved both primary and secondary assists.  This statistic is useful in determining which teams tend to move the ball around well (a high percentage of their goals involve secondary assists), and which teams tend to score on transition (a low percentage of goals that include secondary assists).  To create this stat, we took the total number of goals a team has scored, and divided it by the sum of all corresponding players’ secondary assists.  The results are summarized below.

Team Secondary Assists Goals For % Goals w/ 2A
Collective 28 55 51%
Flying Elbows 47 96 49%
Warriors 27 56 48%
Barrage 23 52 44%
Big D 27 62 44%
Baton Rouge 33 84 39%
Shooters 15 48 31%
Sasquatches 24 88 27%

 

The results suggest the Collective (51%), the Flying Elbows (49%), and the Warriors (48%) are the savviest teams, in terms of ball movement.  They include secondary assists on half of their team’s total goals, which indicates the ball changes player possession several times before scoring attempts are made.  These teams are difficult to defend against, due to the variety of players involved in each scoring play.  It is no surprise that the top two teams include well-known playmakers such as Rick Bartlett (Collective), and Tim O’Leary (Flying Elbows).  Coincidentally, these two players enjoy their stats, as well.

Well that about sums up the third rendition of “Balls Deep.”  Hopefully these statistics provided some more detail to the current league scoring situation.  For everyone’s enjoyment, I have included the statistics for everyone in the league in the table below.

Name GP G 1A 2A Pts GPG 1APG 2APG PPG % Goals % Total
Marc 12 17 18 4 39 1.42 1.50 0.33 3.25 19.32% 44.3182%
Ray 15 25 19 4 48 1.67 1.27 0.27 3.20 29.76% 57.1429%
Troy 15 16 14 8 38 1.07 0.93 0.53 2.53 16.67% 39.5833%
Bobby 18 27 14 4 45 1.50 0.78 0.22 2.50 30.68% 51.1364%
Justin 18 22 14 6 42 1.22 0.78 0.33 2.33 22.92% 43.7500%
Brent 18 21 15 5 41 1.17 0.83 0.28 2.28 25.00% 48.8095%
Mike M. 15 14 10 7 31 0.93 0.67 0.47 2.07 25.45% 56.3636%
Jamie 18 21 8 8 37 1.17 0.44 0.44 2.06 21.88% 38.5417%
Tim 18 14 16 6 36 0.78 0.89 0.33 2.00 14.58% 37.5000%
Andrew 12 13 7 3 23 1.08 0.58 0.25 1.92 20.97% 37.0968%
Sly 9 12 2 3 17 1.33 0.22 0.33 1.89 14.29% 20.2381%
Sean 15 19 7 1 27 1.27 0.47 0.07 1.80 21.59% 30.6818%
James 18 12 9 11 32 0.67 0.50 0.61 1.78 21.43% 57.1429%
Matt Vautour 18 14 12 5 31 0.78 0.67 0.28 1.72 16.67% 36.9048%
Rick B. 18 10 12 8 30 0.56 0.67 0.44 1.67 18.18% 54.5455%
Bruno 12 12 5 3 20 1.00 0.42 0.25 1.67 19.35% 32.2581%
Collin 18 19 9 1 29 1.06 0.50 0.06 1.61 36.54% 55.7692%
Vince 18 11 8 9 28 0.61 0.44 0.50 1.56 11.46% 29.1667%
Brian 18 8 15 5 28 0.44 0.83 0.28 1.56 8.33% 29.1667%
Denis 18 18 7 2 27 1.00 0.39 0.11 1.50 32.14% 48.2143%
Jim 12 7 10 1 18 0.58 0.83 0.08 1.50 12.73% 32.7273%
Joel 15 11 6 2 19 0.73 0.40 0.13 1.27 22.92% 39.5833%
Craig 15 11 5 3 19 0.73 0.33 0.20 1.27 21.15% 36.5385%
Darren 12 8 5 2 15 0.67 0.42 0.17 1.25 9.09% 17.0455%
Harold 18 7 11 4 22 0.39 0.61 0.22 1.22 14.58% 45.8333%
Carl 18 11 8 3 22 0.61 0.44 0.17 1.22 20.00% 40.0000%
Mike D. 9 6 3 2 11 0.67 0.33 0.22 1.22 12.50% 22.9167%
Rakesh 9 2 3 6 11 0.22 0.33 0.67 1.22 3.23% 17.7419%
Steve 18 2 11 8 21 0.11 0.61 0.44 1.17 2.38% 25.0000%
Mike C. 18 8 7 5 20 0.44 0.39 0.28 1.11 14.55% 36.3636%
Jon 18 10 8 2 20 0.56 0.44 0.11 1.11 17.86% 35.7143%
Jeremy 18 11 8 1 20 0.61 0.44 0.06 1.11 17.74% 32.2581%
Tyson 9 4 2 4 10 0.44 0.22 0.44 1.11 6.45% 16.1290%
Ian 12 9 4 0 13 0.75 0.33 0.00 1.08 14.52% 20.9677%
Mike L. 15 3 9 4 16 0.20 0.60 0.27 1.07 5.36% 28.5714%
Matt Vaillanc. 15 8 5 3 16 0.53 0.33 0.20 1.07 9.52% 19.0476%
Wayne 18 10 8 1 19 0.56 0.44 0.06 1.06 19.23% 36.5385%
Mike C. 10 7 3 0 10 0.70 0.30 0.00 1.00 12.50% 17.8571%
Rob 3 2 1 0 3 0.67 0.33 0.00 1.00 4.17% 6.2500%
Jamie 18 2 9 6 17 0.11 0.50 0.33 0.94 3.85% 32.6923%
Ben 13 2 4 6 12 0.15 0.31 0.46 0.92 3.23% 19.3548%
Wyatt 18 6 5 5 16 0.33 0.28 0.28 0.89 11.54% 30.7692%
Scott 18 3 7 6 16 0.17 0.39 0.33 0.89 3.41% 18.1818%
Darryl 12 3 5 2 10 0.25 0.42 0.17 0.83 5.77% 19.2308%
Larry 15 4 5 3 12 0.27 0.33 0.20 0.80 7.14% 21.4286%
Travis 18 4 5 4 13 0.22 0.28 0.22 0.72 4.17% 13.5417%
Scott M. 15 2 6 2 10 0.13 0.40 0.13 0.67 4.17% 20.8333%
Bryan 18 2 5 5 12 0.11 0.28 0.28 0.67 2.27% 13.6364%
Chris 15 6 2 1 9 0.40 0.13 0.07 0.60 12.50% 18.7500%
Phil 18 1 4 5 10 0.06 0.22 0.28 0.56 1.79% 17.8571%
Rick H. 9 2 2 1 5 0.22 0.22 0.11 0.56 3.64% 9.0909%
Yvon 18 2 3 4 9 0.11 0.17 0.22 0.50 4.17% 18.7500%
Rene 18 1 2 5 8 0.06 0.11 0.28 0.44 1.19% 9.5238%
Greg 15 2 2 2 6 0.13 0.13 0.13 0.40 2.27% 6.8182%
Evan 18 2 2 3 7 0.11 0.11 0.17 0.39 3.64% 12.7273%
Trevor 15 0 1 4 5 0.00 0.07 0.27 0.33 0.00% 9.6154%
Jeff 15 0 1 4 5 0.00 0.07 0.27 0.33 0.00% 8.0645%
Dave 17 0 0 1 1 0.00 0.00 0.06 0.06 0.00% 1.9231%
Tony 18 0 1 0 1 0.00 0.06 0.00 0.06 0.00% 1.7857%
Brandon 18 0 0 1 1 0.00 0.00 0.06 0.06 0.00% 1.0417%
Frederik 18 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.0000%
Christian 2 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.0000%
Mark 15 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.0000%
Rick 18 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.0000%
Paul 18 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.0000%

 

 


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